Saturday, December 16, 2006

Spring Election; Liberals Gaining Strength

There has been a lot of talk about a spring election. Stéphan Dion, the new Liberal Leader, has announced that he and his party are getting ready for a spring election. Gilles Duceppe, the Bloc leader, is also considering introducing a non-confidence motion over the war in Afghanistan. So if the Liberals and the Bloc decided that they both want an election, even if the NDP sided with the Conservatives, the government would fall. And as Harper has said many times, he will not help take down his own government.

While I would like to see the Conservatives get kicked out of office, I strongly believe that an election is not wanted whatsoever right now by Canadians. And I predict that whoever were to vote for that potential motion would see a drop in votes. We have had elections in 2004 and 2006, and adding a 2007 election will be anything but good for the nation.

UPDATE: Stéphan Dion has said that he would not support a Bloc motion to take down the government over Afghanistan, and without Liberal support, the motion cannot pass.
Also, Jack Layton (NDP Leader) said in his Dec. 18th press conference that he would like to see this Parliament work for Canadians, giving the impression he does not want an election very soon.


Recent polls have indicated that the Liberal party is on the rise across Canada. Supposedly, they have the support of 35% of voters, while the Conservatives' have 32%, and the NDP 12%. The poll has a margin of error of up to 3.1% (Decima Research Poll, Dec. 7-11, 2006). If you adjust that, the Conservatives could actually be tied with the Liberals, and the NDP could be only .4% lower than the official results of the last election. And it has to be remembered that only 1,025 people were polled, out of the 23 million registered electors. Canadians can see, better than what this poll tells us, what the Conservatives are doing to this country, and they can also see the progress the NDP has made in this session.

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